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96Indyram
Well-Known Member
It Seems to be strange posting this in February...With everyone dealing with cold/snow/ice....Thats why I am posting it...who is thinking about tornados this time of year?........... HEADS UP!! 
Breaking News: Tornado Outbreak Projected For Eastern Central United States On Thursday
Severe storms will form in elevated fashion for hail threats starting Thursday morning at midnight or so across the Kansas City, Missouri zones. Lack of moisture depth and a cap at the surface will keep storms from forming along the line into Oklahoma and most of Texas so nothing to worry about there. As the moisture depth and cap release through Thursday, a line of storms will form all the way to the Gulf of Mexico, fully formed probably in Eastern Arkansas through Louisiana.
This line of thunderstorms will be in an environment for directional shear and and extremely strong jet stream punching through the area. As the storms later Thursday move through the Mississippi River they’ll turn into severe storms capable of producing violent tornadoes. Right now the surface backing winds look extremely favorable for strong inflow and the directional shear promotes enough updraft exhaust to sustain long tracking tornado probabilities …The most violent zone will be where all these ingredients meet … in parts of Southeast MO, Northeast AR, Northern MS, Western half of TN and Kentucky, and extremely Southern Illinois. The rest of the areas further north into IL will have tornado probabilities as well …
This surface low will be strong, much stronger than anything this season that has produced tornadoes in this area within the last four months so I do not see a reason why there will not be a tornado outbreak …
TheWeatherSpace.com will be issuing custom severe and/or tornado watch products so sign up below (Free) and start check-marking what areas you wish to receive the alerts from.
http://www.theweatherspace.com/2014...or-eastern-central-united-states-on-thursday/
____________________________________________________________
Tor-Con is posted also!
http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-torcon-index
Tuesday, Feb. 18
A few thunderstorms are possible in GA, AL, MS, AR, north AL, possibly with some small hail - particularly in evening and overnight in north MS, north AL, north GA, TN, AR, southwest VA and the western Carolinas.. TOR:CON - near zero
Wednesday, Feb. 19 (daytime)
A few thunderstorms in east OK, AR, north MS, north AL, south and east TN, west NC, possibly with small hail. TOR:CON - near zero
Wednesday night, Feb. 19-20
Isolated severe thunderstorms with hail and possibly a damaging gust in southeast KS, northeast OK, northwest LA, southwest and central AR. TOR:CON - 1
Thursday, Feb. 20
Looks like a severe thunderstorm and possibly tornado outbreak. Starts with isolated severe thunderstorms in the morning in extreme southeast KS, extreme northeast OK, southwest MO, northwest AR, becoming more numerous and spreading across central and south AR, central and south IL, south, central and northeast IN, west and central OH, west, central, and northeast KY, west and middle TN, north and west AL, MS, north and east AR, northeast, central, and south LA during afternoon and evening. TOR:CON - 5 west and middle TN, north MS, northwest AL; 4 west and central KY, central MS; 2 to 3 rest of area.
Thursday night: Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and a chance of a tornado spread overnight into east OH, southwest PA, west half WV, east KY, southwest VA, west NC, east TN, north and west GA, across AL, and into the FL panhandle. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 at this time
TOR:CON List
AL northwest - 5
AL northeast, night - 3
AL west-central - 3
AL southwest - 2 to 3
AL east-central, southeast, night - 2 to 3
AR northwest, morning - 2
AR north-central, east - 3
FL western panhandle, night - 2
GA north, west, night - 2 to 3
IL central, south - 3
IN south, central, northeast - 3
KS extreme southeast, morning - 2
KY west, central - 4
KY east, night - 3
LA northeast, south - 2 to 3
MO southwest, morning - 2
MO east-central, southeast - 3
MS north - 5
MS central - 4
MS south - 2 to 3
OH west, central - 3
OH east, night - 2 to 3
OK extreme northeast, morning - 2
PA west, night - 2 to 3
TN west, middle - 5
TN east, night - 3
WV west, night - 2 to 3
other areas - 1 or less
Friday, Feb. 21
Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging gusts and possibly hail in south NJ, DE, southeast MD, southeast VA, east half NC, east half SC, southeast GA, northeast and central FL. TOR:CON - 2
There is some difference between computer models regarding how fast the cold front will sweep the severe threat off the East Coast. So there's a chance of a severe thunderstorm a little farther west than indicated above.
Breaking News: Tornado Outbreak Projected For Eastern Central United States On Thursday
Severe storms will form in elevated fashion for hail threats starting Thursday morning at midnight or so across the Kansas City, Missouri zones. Lack of moisture depth and a cap at the surface will keep storms from forming along the line into Oklahoma and most of Texas so nothing to worry about there. As the moisture depth and cap release through Thursday, a line of storms will form all the way to the Gulf of Mexico, fully formed probably in Eastern Arkansas through Louisiana.
This line of thunderstorms will be in an environment for directional shear and and extremely strong jet stream punching through the area. As the storms later Thursday move through the Mississippi River they’ll turn into severe storms capable of producing violent tornadoes. Right now the surface backing winds look extremely favorable for strong inflow and the directional shear promotes enough updraft exhaust to sustain long tracking tornado probabilities …The most violent zone will be where all these ingredients meet … in parts of Southeast MO, Northeast AR, Northern MS, Western half of TN and Kentucky, and extremely Southern Illinois. The rest of the areas further north into IL will have tornado probabilities as well …
This surface low will be strong, much stronger than anything this season that has produced tornadoes in this area within the last four months so I do not see a reason why there will not be a tornado outbreak …
TheWeatherSpace.com will be issuing custom severe and/or tornado watch products so sign up below (Free) and start check-marking what areas you wish to receive the alerts from.
http://www.theweatherspace.com/2014...or-eastern-central-united-states-on-thursday/
____________________________________________________________
Tor-Con is posted also!
http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-torcon-index
Tuesday, Feb. 18
A few thunderstorms are possible in GA, AL, MS, AR, north AL, possibly with some small hail - particularly in evening and overnight in north MS, north AL, north GA, TN, AR, southwest VA and the western Carolinas.. TOR:CON - near zero
Wednesday, Feb. 19 (daytime)
A few thunderstorms in east OK, AR, north MS, north AL, south and east TN, west NC, possibly with small hail. TOR:CON - near zero
Wednesday night, Feb. 19-20
Isolated severe thunderstorms with hail and possibly a damaging gust in southeast KS, northeast OK, northwest LA, southwest and central AR. TOR:CON - 1
Thursday, Feb. 20
Looks like a severe thunderstorm and possibly tornado outbreak. Starts with isolated severe thunderstorms in the morning in extreme southeast KS, extreme northeast OK, southwest MO, northwest AR, becoming more numerous and spreading across central and south AR, central and south IL, south, central and northeast IN, west and central OH, west, central, and northeast KY, west and middle TN, north and west AL, MS, north and east AR, northeast, central, and south LA during afternoon and evening. TOR:CON - 5 west and middle TN, north MS, northwest AL; 4 west and central KY, central MS; 2 to 3 rest of area.
Thursday night: Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and a chance of a tornado spread overnight into east OH, southwest PA, west half WV, east KY, southwest VA, west NC, east TN, north and west GA, across AL, and into the FL panhandle. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 at this time
TOR:CON List
AL northwest - 5
AL northeast, night - 3
AL west-central - 3
AL southwest - 2 to 3
AL east-central, southeast, night - 2 to 3
AR northwest, morning - 2
AR north-central, east - 3
FL western panhandle, night - 2
GA north, west, night - 2 to 3
IL central, south - 3
IN south, central, northeast - 3
KS extreme southeast, morning - 2
KY west, central - 4
KY east, night - 3
LA northeast, south - 2 to 3
MO southwest, morning - 2
MO east-central, southeast - 3
MS north - 5
MS central - 4
MS south - 2 to 3
OH west, central - 3
OH east, night - 2 to 3
OK extreme northeast, morning - 2
PA west, night - 2 to 3
TN west, middle - 5
TN east, night - 3
WV west, night - 2 to 3
other areas - 1 or less
Friday, Feb. 21
Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging gusts and possibly hail in south NJ, DE, southeast MD, southeast VA, east half NC, east half SC, southeast GA, northeast and central FL. TOR:CON - 2
There is some difference between computer models regarding how fast the cold front will sweep the severe threat off the East Coast. So there's a chance of a severe thunderstorm a little farther west than indicated above.
